OpenRouter Usage & Churn

ort.fabryka.ai · updated 2026-06-06 23:46 UTC

575 days of history 2024-11-09 → 2026-06-06 750 models tracked

Top vendors — daily tokens (full history, billions)

Substitution — Claude Opus version migration (stacked daily tokens, billions)

Each band is one version. Watch usage hand off up the stack: 4.5→4.6→4.7→4.8 — the family total holds/grows while users rotate to the newest release (in-family retention, not churn).

Vendor churn & market share (30d vs 30d, tokens)

vendor	recent	Δ%	share	share Δ
deepseek	21.6T	+178%	19.1%	+9.2pp
anthropic	20.5T	+38%	18.1%	-0.7pp
google	16.1T	+11%	14.2%	-4.1pp
tencent	11.6T	+2387746%	10.3%	+10.3pp
openai	8.7T	+4%	7.7%	-2.9pp
xiaomi	6.0T	+75%	5.3%	+1.0pp
openrouter	5.4T	+525%	4.8%	+3.7pp
minimax	5.1T	-24%	4.5%	-4.0pp
moonshotai	4.3T	-28%	3.8%	-3.8pp
qwen	4.1T	+11%	3.6%	-1.1pp
z-ai	3.6T	-27%	3.1%	-3.0pp
stepfun	2.3T	+5%	2.0%	-0.7pp
x-ai	1.2T	-66%	1.1%	-3.4pp
mistralai	1.1T	+23%	1.0%	-0.2pp

Family churn & substitution (30d vs 30d) — version migration nets out

family	recent	Δ%	lead version (stickiness)	substitution
DeepSeek DeepSeek Flash	11.6T	+807%	DeepSeek V4 Flash 100%
Tencent Hy3	11.6T	+3031521%	Hy3 preview 100%
Anthropic Claude Opus	11.2T	+67%	Claude Opus 4.7 67%	v4.6 → v4.7
Anthropic Claude Sonnet	8.2T	+17%	Claude Sonnet 4.6 91%	v4.5 → v4.6
Google Gemini Flash	8.1T	+8%	Gemini 3 Flash Preview 55%	v2.0 → v3.5
Owl Alpha	5.4T	+3070%	Owl Alpha 100%
DeepSeek DeepSeek	5.0T	-10%	DeepSeek V3.2 88%	vV3.2 → vV3 0324
DeepSeek DeepSeek Pro	4.8T	+515%	DeepSeek V4 Pro 100%
Google Gemini Flash Lite	4.6T	+18%	Gemini 2.5 Flash Lite 53%	v2.5 → v3.1
MoonshotAI Kimi K2.	4.1T	-29%	Kimi K2.6 78%
MiniMax MiniMax M2.	3.4T	-49%	MiniMax M2.7 73%
OpenAI GPT	3.3T	+39%	GPT-5.5 60%	v5.4 → v5.5
Xiaomi MiMo	3.2T	+2981%	MiMo-V2.5 100%
Z.ai GLM	2.7T	-16%	GLM 5.1 52%	v5 → v4.7

Model lifecycle distribution

stage	#	volume	share of tracked	examples
LAUNCHING	31	3.7T/d		qwen/qwen3.6-plu, tencent/hy3-prev, qwen/qwen3.6-plu
GROWING	9	934.8B/d		MiMo-V2.5, Owl Alpha, DeepSeek V3.2
MATURE	23	2.0T/d		DeepSeek V4 Flas, Hy3 preview, Claude Sonnet 4.
DECLINING	117	1.9T/d		Claude Opus 4.7, stepfun/step-3.5, Gemini 2.5 Flash
DEAD	32	31.3B/d		Claude Opus 4.5, MiMo-V2-Pro, GLM 5 Turbo

📈 Gaining by spend (USD, 7d vs 7d)

StepFun: Step 3.7 Flash	paid	$142.8K	+23318%
Anthropic: Claude Opus 4.8	paid	$5.4M	+867%
Anthropic: Claude Opus 4.8 (Fast)	paid	$384.2K	+621%
Xiaomi: MiMo-V2.5	paid	$323.9K	+203%
Qwen: Qwen3 235B A22B Instruct 2507	paid	$24.3K	+102%
OpenAI: GPT-5.1	paid	$161.9K	+99%
xAI: Grok Build 0.1	paid	$22.2K	+93%
Qwen: Qwen3.7 Max	paid	$262.3K	+58%
Google: Gemma 4 31B	paid	$48.2K	+50%
Google: Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite	paid	$139.6K	+31%
Z.ai: GLM 5	paid	$104.5K	+30%
MiniMax: MiniMax M2.5	paid	$34.4K	+28%

📉 Churning by spend (USD, 7d vs 7d)

Qwen: Qwen3.6 Max Preview	paid	$3.6K	-91%
OpenAI: GPT-5.4 Pro	paid	$6.6K	-84%
Mistral: Mistral Medium 3.5	paid	$13.8K	-73%
OpenAI: GPT-5.4 Image 2	paid	$24.3K	-59%
Anthropic: Claude Opus 4.7 (Fast)	paid	$133.6K	-56%
Z.ai: GLM 4.7	paid	$47.7K	-48%
Anthropic: Claude Opus 4.7	paid	$6.9M	-47%
OpenAI: GPT-5.5 Pro	paid	$119.0K	-44%
MoonshotAI: Kimi K2.6	paid	$270.1K	-40%
Anthropic: Claude Opus 4.5	paid	$238.5K	-28%
OpenAI: GPT-5.4	paid	$633.3K	-26%
MiniMax: MiniMax M2.7	paid	$123.9K	-23%

📈 Long-term gainers (tokens, 30d vs 30d)

Tencent: Hy3 preview	paid	11.6T	+3031521%
inclusionAI: Ling-2.6-1T	paid	9.1B	+48914%
inclusionAI: Ling-2.6-flash	paid	151.2B	+6931%
Mistral: Mistral Medium 3.5	paid	68.9B	+5143%
baidu/cobuddy-20260430:free	paid	67.9B	+5015%
Owl Alpha	free	5.4T	+3070%
Xiaomi: MiMo-V2.5	paid	3.2T	+2981%
Thenlper: GTE-Large	paid	5.0B	+2332%
Qwen: Qwen3.6 35B A3B	paid	126.5B	+1862%
poolside/laguna-m.1-20260312:free	paid	1.5T	+910%
xAI: Grok 4.3	paid	271.9B	+848%
Z.ai: GLM 4 32B	paid	6.2B	+834%

📉 Long-term churn (tokens, 30d vs 30d)

AllenAI: Olmo 3.1 32B Instruct	free	220.4K	-100%
Qwen: Qwen3 30B A3B Instruct 2507	paid	197.8M	-98%
TNG: DeepSeek R1T2 Chimera	free	380.8M	-97%
inclusionai/ling-2.6-1t-20260423:free	paid	36.4B	-96%
Xiaomi: MiMo-V2-Pro	free	102.3B	-95%
Anthropic: Claude 3.7 Sonnet	free	5.6B	-91%
Google: Gemini 2.5 Pro	paid	36.1B	-90%
Anthropic: Claude Opus 4.6 (Fast)	paid	1.7B	-89%
Z.ai: GLM 5 Turbo	paid	125.5B	-88%
xAI: Grok Code Fast 1	free	5.7B	-87%
xAI: Grok 3	free	1.5B	-87%
Qwen: Qwen3.5-9B	paid	31.6B	-86%